Gold Edges Higher Off 1-1/2 Month Low Despite Buoyant Dollar

Gold prices edged higher on Monday on the prospect of extended U.S. fiscal stimulus and accommodative monetary policies, although bullion held close to the 1-1/2 month low hit earlier as the dollar extended gains.

Spot gold was up 0.3% to $1,831.49 per ounce by 1236 GMT, after falling to $1,809.90, its lowest since Dec. 2. U.S. gold futures were flat at $1,829.80.

“This new (U.S.) government will provide more economic stimulus and also the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve is unlikely to become more hawkish going forward,” said Commerzbank analyst Eugen Weinberg.

“Therefore we are likely to see continued support for gold prices.”

U.S. President-elect Joe Biden outlined a $1.9 trillion stimulus package proposal last week to jump-start the economy and accelerate the distribution of COVID-19 vaccines.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell also said there was no reason to alter the central bank’s highly accommodative stance with the U.S. economy still far from its inflation and employment goals.

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation and currency debasement, likely to arise from large stimulus measures.

However, Commerzbank’s Weinberg said a stronger dollar, economic optimism and concerns about Janet Yellen as the U.S. Treasury secretary nominee, who might be restrictive on the fiscal stimulus side, were weighing on gold prices.

The U.S. dollar hit a four-week peak against rival currencies, making gold expensive for holders of other currencies.

Although U.S. inflation expectations have risen in anticipation of more U.S. fiscal stimulus, gold has not been the sole beneficiary – bond yields have risen and weighed on gold, Phillip Futures said in a note.

U.S. Treasury yields scaled a 10-month high last week.

Among other precious metals, silver gained 0.5% to $24.85 an ounce, while platinum was down 0.1% to $1,072.82 and palladium shed 0.1% to $2,380.71.

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