With the conclusion of the seventh phase, polling for the Lok Sabha 2024 elections ended on Saturday. While Assam voted in three phases, most of the other northeastern states voted in single or double phases. The News18 Mega Exit Poll has predicted a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA.
The News18 survey has predicted 10 to 13 seats for NDA, two to five seats for INDIA bloc, and one seat for others.
Assam has 14 Lok Sabha seats out of which 11 seats are for the general category, while one is reserved for the Scheduled Caste (SC) and two for the Scheduled Tribe (ST) category.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 9 seats, Congress 3 seats, AIUDF 1 seat, and Independent 1 seat. In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP secured 7 seats, Congress, 3 seats, AIUDF 3 seats, and Independent 1 seat.
Assam voted in three phases. In the first phase on April 19, polling was held in five constituencies: Dibrugarh, Jorhat, Kaziranga, Lakhimpur, and Sonitpur. The second phase on April 26 saw polling in another five seats: Silchar, Karimganj, Diphu, Nagaon, and Darrang-Udalguri. The remaining four constituencies– Guwahati, Dhubri, Barpeta, and Kokrakhjar– went to polls in the third phase on May 7.
A total sample size of 93,240 across 21 states was planned, but over 95,000 was achieved. In each Lok Sabha constituency, three Vidhan Sabha constituencies were covered, with 10 polling booths in each selected through random sampling. Around each polling station, trained investigators conducted 15 door-to-door interviews – one eligible respondent with inked finger per household. In case of the exit poll, near each polling station, 15 interviews were conducted of people coming out after casting their votes, with every fifth person stopped for interview.
On-spot checks by senior field manager and executives, geo-tagging of interviews and telephonic back-checks for 20% of the sample in each state were among the many steps taken to maintain quality.
Check detailed seat predictions based on Exit Poll Results 2024 LIVE . Get minute-by-minute updates on the exit polls from Andhra Pradesh.
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